Equity Research & Stock Recommendations

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Contrarian Equity Research Authority Since 2000

Founded in 2000 by Angus Geddes and based in Australia, Fat Prophets is a trusted provider of  contrarian equity research and stock recommendations, helping self-directed investors identify undervalued opportunities across Australian shares, global equities and global mining stocks for more than 26 years.

Guided by our See Further, Arrive First™ methodology, members receive institutional-grade investment research, macroeconomic analysis, market insights and actionable stock recommendations designed to remove guesswork, save time and support better investment decisions.

Fat Prophets members-only service includes 3 equity research model portfolios and more than 160 stock reports and recommendations, which have consistently outperformed major market benchmarks over the long term, delivering value that has historically exceeded membership costs many times over for our members.

Why Investors Trust Fat Prophets’ Equity Research & Stock Recommendations

  • Established in 2000 with more than 26 years of stock market research and wealth management experience.
  • Proven, transparent and published track record trusted by more than 25K members worldwide.
  • Over 160 stock reports and stock recommendations across three equity research model portfolios.
  • Independently verified 18.92% per annum return* since inception (2000) for our flagship Australasian Equities model portfolio.
  • We don’t just provide stock recommendations — we are the only boutique equity research firm in Australia that applies the same contrarian investing philosophy and equity research process to manage client wealth, including through our listed fund Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund (ASX:FPC) and Separately Managed Accounts (SMAs) with assets under management exceeding A$350 million.
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What Is Equity Research?

Equity research is the process of analysing publicly listed companies to determine their financial strength, valuation, growth prospects and investment potential. Professional equity analysts evaluate financial statements, earnings potential, management quality, industry conditions and macroeconomic factors to identify investment opportunities and provide stock picks and recommendations.

Click here to view a table showing a summary of the benefits of professional equity research.

Table: Benefits of Professional Equity Research

BENEFITINVESTOR OUTCOME
Company valuationBetter stock selection
Risk assessmentReduced investment mistakes
Fundamental analysisImproved conviction
Market insightsBetter timing awareness
Portfolio constructionImproved diversification
Ongoing monitoringFaster reaction to changes

Why Equity Research Matters?

Equity research matters because it provides self-directed investors with professional, data-driven analysis of companies, industries and market trends, enabling them to identify opportunities, evaluate risks and make informed investment decisions based on evidence rather than emotion or market noise.

Key Equity Research Aims Include:

  • Identify undervalued companies by analysing financial performance, competitive advantages and future growth potential.
  • Assess investment risks by examining business fundamentals, industry conditions and market challenges.
  • Estimate intrinsic value by evaluating earnings, cash flows, balance sheets and valuation metrics.
  • Build diversified portfolios by identifying opportunities across sectors, markets and asset classes.
  • Discover long-term opportunities by focusing on fundamental value rather than short-term price movements.
  • Monitor changing market conditions through ongoing analysis of companies, industries and economic trends.
  • Improve investment discipline by replacing emotional decisions with structured research and investment frameworks.
Click here to learn more how Equity Research Improves Investment Performance

How Equity Research Improves Investment Performance?

Professional equity research can improve investment performance by helping investors identify undervalued companies, avoid overvalued or higher-risk investments and make decisions based on fundamental analysis rather than market sentiment. By providing in-house stock analysis, company valuations and ongoing investment insights, equity research supports more disciplined portfolio construction and better long-term investment outcomes.

Click here to learn more how Equity Research Reduces Investment Risk

How Equity Research Reduces Investment Risk?

Quality equity research reduces investment risk by helping investors avoid overvalued companies, identify deteriorating fundamentals, understand industry risks, evaluate management quality and assess balance sheet strength before committing capital.

Fat Prophets 3 Equity Research Model Portfolios

Fat Prophets offers 3 Equity Research Model Portfolios, each built on the firm’s contrarian investment philosophy and supported by a disciplined combination of macroeconomic analysis, fundamental research and technical analysis to identify attractive investment opportunities:

  1. Australasian Equities

  2. Global Equities

  3. Global Mining

1. Australasian Equities Portfolio

Purpose and Introduction

The Fat Prophets flagship Australasian Equities Portfolio is a research-driven model portfolio giving investors structured, long-term exposure to Australia’s leading ASX-listed companies and targeted exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Every holding is backed by in-house fundamental research and a clear Buy, Hold or Sell recommendation, as well as risk level so members always know where a stock stands and why.

The model portfolio is designed for self-directed investors seeking long-term capital growth opportunities who want professionally researched core exposure to blue-chip and large-cap Australian shares, complemented by carefully selected ASX-listed ETFs for extra diversification.

Performance

Fat Prophets’ Australasian Equities model portfolio delivered a record-breaking, independently verified 84.77% return in 2025.
Since inception in October 2000, the Fat Prophets Australasian Equities portfolio has more than doubled the performance of the All Ordinaries Accumulation Index, 18.92% vs 8.42%. This represents over two decades of sustained outperformance, demonstrating the power of contrarian stock selection approach and disciplined investment methodology. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

Coverage

  • 60+ stock reports and recommendations
  • ASX-listed company shares and ETFs
  • Blue-chip, large and medium-cap companies
  • Core and speculative holdings

Ideal Investor

The Australasian Equities Model Portfolio is designed for investors seeking:

  • Australian & Australasian share exposure: seeking core ASX equity exposure, complemented by Asian and commodity ETF exposure for broader diversification.
  • Long-term capital growth: focused on building wealth over years, not chasing short-term trades.
  • Fundamental, research-led stock selection: prefers evidence-based recommendations over speculation or tips.
  • Moderate risk tolerance

Key Benefits

Key Benefits of this members-only model portfolio are:

  • Detailed Company Research and Analysis
  • Buy, Hold and Sell guidance
  • Low, Medium or High Risk-rated guidance
  • Core or Speculative role Guidance
  • Portfolio Update Alerts
  • Sector Diversification

Investment Approach

The Australasian Equities Portfolio follows Fat Prophets’ contrarian investment philosophy: looking beyond market sentiment to identify quality large companies that are undervalued, well-managed and positioned to outperform over the long term.

How to access this model portfolio

Investors can access the Fat Prophets Australasian Equities Portfolio and many other membership benefits through a Fat Prophets Standard, Premium or Platinum membership plan.

Explore Fat Prophets membership benefits and options and select the plan that provides the level of equity research access you require:

View Fat Prophets Membership Plans

2. Global Equities Portfolio

Purpose and Introduction

The Fat Prophets Global Equities Portfolio is a research-driven model portfolio designed to help investors look beyond the local market and access the growth, diversification and opportunity available in the world’s leading share markets across North America, Europe, the United Kingdom and Asia — giving them a genuine global lens on where value and growth are emerging.

Every holding is backed by in-house fundamental research and a clear Buy, Hold or Sell recommendation, as well as risk level so members always know where a stock stands and why. 

Coverage:

  • 65+ stock reports and recommendations
  • Multi-exchange reach (US, Japan, Europe, China)
  • A mix of share types including ETFs and commodity-linked securities
  • A full spectrum of company sizes and capitalisations
  • Core and speculative holdings

Ideal Investor

The Global Equities Model Portfolio is designed for investors seeking:

  • Global market share exposure: rather than single-country or single-sector concentration.
  • World-leading businesses access: Apple, Microsoft, Nintendo, LVMH and Tencent etc.
  • Fundamental, research-led stock selection: prefers evidence-based recommendations over speculation or tips.
  • Moderate-to-higher risk tolerance

Key Benefits

Key Benefits of this members-only model portfolio are:

  • Detailed Company Research and Analysis
  • Buy, Hold and Sell guidance
  • Low, Medium or High Risk-rated guidance
  • Core or Speculative role Guidance
  • Portfolio Update Alerts
  • Sector Diversification

Investment Approach

The Global Equities Portfolio follows Fat Prophets’ contrarian investment philosophy: looking beyond market sentiment to identify quality large companies that are undervalued, well-managed and positioned to outperform over the long term.

How to access this model portfolio

Ready to start investing beyond Australia? Investors can access the Fat Prophets Global Equities Portfolio and many other membership benefits through a Fat Prophets Standard, Premium or Platinum membership plan.

Explore Fat Prophets membership benefits and options and select the plan that provides the level of equity research access you require:

View Fat Prophets Membership Plans

To trade international shares, you can open an account with our partner CMC Markets, which provides access to 15 global markets. If you join today, you can also receive $300 in free brokerage for domestic trades.

3. Global Mining Portfolio

Purpose and Introduction

The Fat Prophets Global Mining Portfolio is a research-driven model portfolio designed to help investors access specialist research covering mining and resources companies listed in Australia and internationally.

Every holding is backed by in-house fundamental research and a clear Buy, Hold or Sell recommendation, as well as risk level so members always know where a stock stands and why.

It is built for self-directed investors who want exposure to the commodities that power the global economy — from the precious metals used as a store of value, to the base and bulk commodities that build infrastructure, to the energy resources fuelling the transition to a lower-carbon world. 

Coverage:

  • 35+ stock reports and recommendations
  • Multi-exchange reach (US, Canada, Europe, South Africa)
  • A mix of company shares and ETFs
  • A full spectrum of company sizes and capitalisations
  • Base metals, bulk commodities and energy transition themes

Ideal Investor

The Global Mining Model Portfolio is designed for investors seeking:

  • Global sector-specific exposure: mining and resources, rather than a broad, diversified equity holding.
  • Want a mix of defensive, income-generating blue-chip miners alongside speculative growth exposure to exploration and development stories to choose from.
  • Fundamental, research-led stock selection: prefers evidence-based recommendations over speculation or tips.
  • Moderate-to-higher risk tolerance

Key Benefits

Key Benefits of this members-only model portfolio are:

  • Detailed Company Research and Analysis
  • Buy, Hold and Sell guidance
  • Low, Medium or High Risk-rated guidance
  • Core or Speculative role Guidance
  • Portfolio Update Alerts
  • Sector Diversification

Investment Approach

The Global Mining Portfolio follows Fat Prophets’ contrarian investment philosophy: looking beyond market sentiment to identify quality large companies that are undervalued, well-managed and positioned to outperform over the long term.

How to access this model portfolio

Ready to invest beyond Australia with sector-focused opportunities? Investors can access the Fat Prophets Global Mining Portfolio and many other membership benefits through a Fat Prophets Standard, Premium or Platinum membership plan.

Explore Fat Prophets membership benefits and options and select the plan that provides the level of equity research access you require:

View Fat Prophets Membership Plans

To trade international shares, you can open an account with our partner CMC Markets, which provides access to 15 global markets. If you join today, you can also receive $300 in free brokerage for domestic trades.

Table: Fat Prophets Model Portfolios Comparison

PORTFOLIOCOVERAGEINVESTOR TYPESTOCK REPORTSRISK PROFILEDIVERSIFICATION
Australasian EquitiesASX & AustralasiaCore investors60+ModerateRegional
Global EquitiesInternationalGrowth investors65+Moderate-highGlobal
Global MiningInternational ResourcesSpecialist investors35+Moderate-highSector-specific

Fat Prophets Contrarian Investing Philosophy & Equity Research

What is a Contrarian Investing Philosophy?

A contrarian investing philosophy is an investment approach that involves going against prevailing market sentiment. In simple terms, contrarian investors look for opportunities where they believe the market is overly pessimistic or overly optimistic—and position themselves in the opposite direction. Markets can misprice assets due to investor emotion, short-term thinking and behavioural biases.

Fat Prophets’ equity research team seeks investment opportunities where market sentiment diverges from long-term fundamental value, guided by four core principles of contrarian investing.

4 Core Contrarian Investment Principles

 

1. Independent Thinking

Research-driven investment decisions.

2. Market Inefficiencies

Identify opportunities overlooked by consensus.

3. Valuation Discipline

Focus on intrinsic value.

4. Long-Term Investing

Avoid short-term market noise.

How Fat Prophets Equity Research Is Conducted

With 25 years of experience refining its equity research methodology and framework, Fat Prophets has developed a rigorous five-stage equity research process.

Five-Stage Equity Research Process:

Professional equity research requires more than identifying interesting companies — it requires a rigorous process to evaluate business quality, valuation, risk and investment potential. At Fat Prophets, our five-stage equity research process is guided by a contrarian investment philosophy, using disciplined screening to identify companies that may be misunderstood, overlooked or undervalued by the broader market. Our approach combines detailed fundamental analysis, valuation assessment, investment recommendations and continuous monitoring to uncover long-term opportunities. This disciplined research framework enables our analysts to deliver rigorous investment research, high-conviction stock recommendations and timely market insights for investors seeking superior long-term outcomes.

Table: Fat Prophets Equity Research Process

STAGESOBJECTIVEINVESTOR BENEFIT
1. ScreeningIdentify opportunitiesBetter idea generation
2. Fundamental AnalysisAssess qualityImproved confidence
3. ValuationDetermine fair valueBetter entry points
4. RecommendationInvestment decisionActionable insights
5. MonitoringTrack developmentsOngoing updates
Click here to learn more what equity research analysts do

What Equity Research Analysts Do?

Equity research analysts apply a disciplined equity research framework that combines quantitative analysis with qualitative assessment to uncover investing opportunities that may be overlooked or undervalued by the broader market. At Fat Prophets our equity analysts examine company fundamentals, earnings quality, valuation, management performance, competitive positioning and macroeconomic trends to develop a comprehensive investment view and identify attractive long-term investing opportunities.

Financial Statement Analysis:

  • Income statements
  • Balance sheets
  • Cash flow statements
  • Capital allocation

Earnings Assessment:

  • Revenue growth
  • Profit margins
  • Earnings quality
  • Forecast reliability

Valuation Modelling:

  • Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
  • Earnings multiples
  • EV/EBITDA
  • Sum-of-the-parts valuation
  • Asset-based valuation

Management Review:

  • Executive track record
  • Governance standards
  • Strategic execution
  • Capital discipline

Industry Analysis:

  • Competitive positioning
  • Market share
  • Industry trends
  • Regulatory developments

Macroeconomic Assessment:

  • Interest rates
  • Inflation
  • Currency movements
  • Economic growth
  • Commodity cycles

DIY Equity Research vs Professional Equity Research

Table: DIY Equity Research vs Fat Prophets Equity Research

FACTORDIYFAT PROPHETS
Research depthLimitedProfessional
Company coverageNarrowExtensive
Valuation modelsOften unavailableComprehensive
Analyst expertiseSelf-directedExperienced analysts
Portfolio guidanceNoneStructured
MonitoringTime intensiveOngoing
Investment insightsVariableConsistent

FAQs

How can I access Fat Prophets' Contrarian Equity Research?
Fat Prophets’ contrarian equity research is available through membership subscriptions and underpins both the firm’s Separately Managed Accounts (SMA) services and its listed investment fund, the Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund (ASX:FPC)
Equity research is the analysis of publicly listed companies — covering financials, industry position and valuation — to assess their investment potential and fair value.

It gives investors independent, evidence-based insight, helping them make informed decisions and manage risk instead of relying on speculation or hype.

Equity research can improve investment performance by helping investors spot undervalued stocks, avoid financially weak companies, manage downside risk and build a properly diversified portfolio. Rather than relying on speculation or market noise, decisions are grounded in verified financial data and in-house analysis.

An equity research analyst evaluates listed companies by examining financial statements, industry trends, management quality and valuation metrics to estimate a stock’s fair value. Their work results in evidence-backed recommendations — buy, hold or sell — that help investors decide whether a share is over- or under-priced relative to its true worth.

Equity research reports are detailed written assessments of publicly listed companies. Each report typically covers the business model, financial forecasts, valuation modelling, key risks, growth opportunities and a clear investment recommendation, giving investors an evidence-based view before they buy or sell a stock.

Stock recommendations are an analyst’s formal opinion — typically buy, hold or sell — on whether a share is worth purchasing based on its current valuation.

Yes. Equity research helps beginner investors build financial literacy and make more confident, evidence-based decisions rather than guessing.

*Important Notes and Disclaimer: Annualised returns since inception in 2000 refer to Fat Prophets’ flagship Australasian Equities Model Portfolio and have been independently verified by PKF (NS) Audit and Assurance Australia Limited Partnership. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

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Stock Disclosure

ASX- Listed Australian Stocks:
29M.AU, ANN.AU, ANZ.AU, BPT.AU, BWP.AU, CKF.AU, CBA.AU, EVN.AU, FID.AU, FMG.AU, GOR.AU, GMG.AU, GNC.AU, HUB.AU, ILU.AU, IGO.AU, JHX.AU, MGR.AU, NAB.AU, PAR.AU, QBE.AU, RRL.AU, S32.AU, SBM.AU, TLS.AU, TUA.AU, WES.AU, WBC.AU, WHC.AU, XRO.AUX, AGL.AX, AMC.AX, BHP.AX, CSL.AX, DMP.AX, GDG.AX, WIRE.AX, ATOM.AX, MQG.AX, NIC.AX, NST.AX, ORI.AX, PDN.AX, RMS.AX, RPL.AX, SFR.AX, STO.AX, SUN.AX, VAU.AX, WTC.AX, WDS.AX, GMD.AX, CSC.AX, RIO.AX, GTK.AX, SPK.AX & NEM.AX

International Stocks:
BIDU.CN, 9888.CN, 1211.CN, 268.CN, 3690.HK, 1818.HK, 9618.CN, ENX.FR, BT.A.GB, GENI.GB, FRES.GB, 9988.HK, 2282.HK, 700.HK, 1128.HK, 1876.HK, 8750, 7011.T, 8306.JP, 8031.T, 8411.T, 3994.T, 7974.T, 8604.JP, 8308, 6758.JP, 8316.JP, 8331.T, JP.8308, HEM.SE, GRAB.SG, BABA.K, GOOG.US, AAPL.US, CDE.US, CPNG.K, FLTRF.L, SIL, URA, BZ.O, MSFT.US, SBSW.K, 2840.HK, TME, GDX, GDXJ.US, YUMC.K, Z.O, IMPUY & ANGPY